How it turned out
We projected about 3.6 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Twente to score 2 or fewer 79%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Twente and 2.1 from PSV Eindhoven, so PSV Eindhoven come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Twente come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Twente to score 2 or fewer. This is about Twente's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
PSV Eindhoven have won five of the last five meetings.
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