How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. Both teams scored. We made PSV Eindhoven -1 (win by 2+) 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
PSV Eindhoven come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: PSV Eindhoven -1 (win by 2+). PSV Eindhoven strong enough to win comfortably (xG 3.8-1.0).
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓For Sittard have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 Jan 2026For Sittard 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
31 Oct 2025PSV Eindhoven 5 - 2 For Sittard
3 May 2025PSV Eindhoven 4 - 1 For Sittard
22 Sept 2024For Sittard 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven
12 May 2024For Sittard 1 - 1 PSV Eindhoven
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