How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. Both teams scored. We made PSV Eindhoven -1 (win by 2+) 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
PSV Eindhoven come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: PSV Eindhoven -1 (win by 2+). PSV Eindhoven strong enough to win comfortably (xG 3.8-1.0).
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓PSV Eindhoven have won one of their last five.
One thing to watch
The handicap leaves no cushion — PSV Eindhoven have to win by the full margin, and one goal short still loses.
