How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal. We made Under 3.5 goals 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Feyenoord come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.8 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Feyenoord have won one of their last five.
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. We make it about 65%: a lean, not a lock.
