How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal. We made Under 3.5 goals 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Sparta Rotterdam come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.8 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Sparta Rotterdam have not won any of their last five.
✓Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent results
18 Jan 2026Feyenoord 3 - 4 Sparta Rotterdam
31 Aug 2025Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 4 Feyenoord
8 Feb 2025Feyenoord 3 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam
25 Aug 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 Feyenoord
11 Feb 2024Feyenoord 2 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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