How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Cambuur to score 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Zwolle and 1.3 from Cambuur, so Zwolle come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Zwolle come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cambuur to score. This is about Cambuur's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.9 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last two meetings are split 1-1, with no drawn.
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