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Football/Estonia Meistriliiga/Flora Tallinn v Paide Linnameeskond
Estonia Meistriliiga

Flora Tallinn v Paide Linnameeskond: how it went

Flora Tallinn crestFlora Tallinn2nd of 10 · 55 ptsLLDDL
1 - 2
Paide Linnameeskond crestPaide Linnameeskond3rd of 10 · 51 pts
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Flora Tallinn (Draw No Bet) 62%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from Flora Tallinn and 1.1 from Paide Linnameeskond, so Flora Tallinn come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Flora Tallinn (Draw No Bet). Flora Tallinn are favoured here (xG 1.7-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Flora Tallinn defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.97, which works out at about 51 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Flora Tallinn have not won any of their last five.

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