Kairat Almaty v Anderlecht: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Anderlecht (Draw No Bet) 59%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.2 goals from Kairat Almaty and 1.7 from Anderlecht, so Anderlecht come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Kairat Almaty come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Anderlecht (Draw No Bet). Anderlecht are favoured here (xG 1.2-1.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Anderlecht defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.