Sturm Graz v NK Celje prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Sturm Graz and 1.1 from NK Celje, so Sturm Graz come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

NK Celje come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sturm Graz or Draw. This covers Sturm Graz or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.