How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Aris and 1.0 from OFI Crete, so Aris come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Aris come into this on five straight wins. OFI Crete come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.5 goals (xG 1.6-0.9), and two is enough to land it, landing about 77% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
