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Football/Greek Super League/PAOK v Kalamata
Greek Super League · Toumba Stadium

PAOK v Kalamata prediction

PAOK crestPAOKWWLWW
v
Kalamata crestKalamataLLDWD

What to expect

We expect about 2.8 goals from PAOK and 0.8 from Kalamata, so PAOK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

PAOK come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: PAOK to score 2+. This is about PAOK's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.8 on the day, and the bet needs them to score 2 or more, which we make about 72%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
PAOK have won four of their last five.
Kalamata have won one of their last five.

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