How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made PAOK to score 2 or fewer 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Panetolikos and 1.7 from PAOK, so PAOK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
PAOK come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: PAOK to score 2 or fewer. This is about PAOK's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
PAOK have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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