How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made AEK to win 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from Volos NFC and 2.1 from AEK, so AEK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: AEK to win. AEK shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-2.1), and we make them about 74% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
AEK have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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