How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Ferencváros to win 61%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Nyíregyháza Spartacus FC and 1.9 from Ferencváros, so Ferencváros come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Ferencváros to win. Ferencváros shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.9), and we make them about 63% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Ferencváros have won four of the last five meetings.
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