How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made FH Hafnarfjörður to win 46%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Thór Akureyri and 1.7 from FH Hafnarfjörður, so FH Hafnarfjörður come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FH Hafnarfjörður to win. FH Hafnarfjörður shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.7), and we make them about 48% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 46 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
