What to expect
We expect about 3.1 goals from Bermuda and 1.6 from Barbados, so Bermuda come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bermuda come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bermuda (Draw No Bet). Bermuda are favoured here (xG 3.1-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Bermuda defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.80, which works out at about 36 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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