What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Brazil and 1.5 from Argentina, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Brazil come into this on two straight wins. Argentina come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Argentina or Draw. This covers Argentina or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
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