What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Canada and 1.1 from Denmark, so Canada come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Canada or Draw. This covers Canada or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Canada have won two of their last three.
✓Denmark have won two of their last four.
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