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Football/UEFA Nations League/Gibraltar v Andorra
UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar v Andorra prediction

GIGibraltar
v
Andorra crestAndorraLLLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Gibraltar and 0.8 from Andorra, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Andorra come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Gibraltar or Draw. This covers Gibraltar or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
Andorra have not won any of their last five.

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Japan are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.8), and we make them about 57% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookJapan to win · 2.50Share
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