Guyana v Cayman Islands: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 4.1 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Guyana to win 88%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Guyana host the Cayman Islands in a CONCACAF Nations League clash on 27 September 2026. Both teams sit in the middle of the table, but the numbers tell a clear story. Guyana are expected to find the net more than three times on average, while the Cayman Islands average less than one goal. That gap makes Guyana the stronger side on paper. A win for Guyana would push them a few points higher and keep the Cayman Islands near the bottom, where every point matters. The stakes are simple: three points for the hosts, none for the visitors, and a chance to move up the league ladder.

We see Guyana as the safe choice. The chance they will score at all is 97 %, and the chance they will hit twice or more sits at 86 %. The Cayman Islands are far less likely to find the net, with a 51 % chance of scoring and only a 16 % chance of scoring twice. Our pick is a Guyana win, and we feel about an 88 % chance it will happen. The price on offer is 1.06, which is shorter than what we think the game is worth. In our view, backing Guyana to come out on top is the cleaner play, and the price looks good for a result that looks very likely.