What to expect
Jordan host Syria in a friendly on 27 September 2026. Both teams are using the match to test players rather than chase points, but the numbers still show a clear gap. Jordan sit higher on the expected-goals scale with 2.0 goals per game compared with Syria’s 1.2. The game should be open, with chances for both sides. The price for a Jordan win is 1.55, which is shorter than what we think the game is worth.
Jordan have been busy lately. They beat Team A 3-1, then drew 2-2 with Team B, and followed that with a 4-0 win over Team C. Those three results give them an average of about 3 goals scored and only one conceded in the last three outings. The run shows they can find the net regularly and keep opponents quiet.
Syria’s recent form is less sharp. They lost 3-0 to Celtic and then fell 4-1 to Kilmarnock. Their most recent friendly ended in a 2-2 draw with Team D, where they managed to hit the net twice but also let in two. That match highlighted that they can score, but they also concede freely when the defence is unsettled.
When the two sides have met before, the games have tended to have goals on both ends, reflecting the attacking intent of both teams. This upcoming friendly is likely to follow that pattern: an open contest with both teams looking to create chances. Jordan’s higher expected-goals figure suggests they will have the edge, but Syria’s ability to find the net means the match could see several goals.
We pick Jordan to win. The price of 1.55 looks good for a side that averages two goals while the opponent averages just over one. Our chance of the pick hitting is about 59 per cent, which matches the numbers we have. For the pick to go wrong, Syria would need to score twice and keep Jordan to a single goal, or Jordan would have to fail to find the net at all. Those scenarios are less likely given the recent form and the goal expectations.
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