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Football/UEFA Nations League/Romania v Poland
UEFA Nations League

Romania v Poland prediction

Romania flagRomania4th in Group 4 · 0 ptsLLLL
v
Poland flagPoland3rd in Group 4 · 4 ptsDLWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Romania and 1.5 from Poland, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Romania come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Poland or Draw. This covers Poland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Romania have not won any of their last four.
✓Poland have won one of their last four.

Recent results

2 Oct 2026Poland 6 - 0 Romania

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More UEFA Nations League fixtures

Full fixture list
Turkey flagTurkeyvBelgiumBelgium flag★★★★★
Belgium shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-2.0), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Match outlookBelgium to win · 1.89Share
England flagEnglandvCroatiaCroatia flag★★★★★
England are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.9), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookEngland to win · 1.23Share
Every game on Saturday, 14 November 2026 →
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