How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Beitar Jerusalem to win 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.1 goals from Beitar Jerusalem and 1.0 from Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, so Beitar Jerusalem come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Beitar Jerusalem to win. Beitar Jerusalem are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.0), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Beitar Jerusalem have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
