How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Hapoel Haifa or Draw 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Hapoel Haifa and 1.1 from Hapoel Petah Tikva, so Hapoel Haifa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Hapoel Haifa come into this on two straight defeats. Hapoel Petah Tikva come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Hapoel Haifa or Draw. This covers Hapoel Haifa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Hapoel Haifa have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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