How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Maccabi Netanya or Draw 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Maccabi Netanya and 1.2 from Hapoel Jerusalem FC, so Maccabi Netanya come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Hapoel Jerusalem FC come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Maccabi Netanya or Draw. This covers Maccabi Netanya or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Maccabi Netanya have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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