What to expect
The game looks fairly even but the numbers tip Hapoel Haifa as the stronger side. Both clubs are expected to score just over a goal each, so we can expect a tight match with few chances. It should be a close contest rather than a free-scoring affair.
Recent numbers show Hapoel Haifa edging the goal average, with 1.4 goals compared with 1.1 for Hapoel Be’er Sheva. The two sides have not played each other recently in the data we have, but the goal figures suggest a pattern where Haifa is likely to edge the result.
We pick Hapoel Haifa to win. The price of 6.60 is longer than what we think the game is worth, but it still gives a decent return for a 39 % chance of success. Haifa looks the better bet on the road and backing them outright is the simplest way to go.
For the pick to fail, Be’er Sheva would need to score more than one goal and keep a clean sheet, which looks unlikely given the low scoring outlook. Our view is fairly strong – we see Haifa as the favorite, but we accept the risk that the match could stay level or slip away.
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