What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Ironi Tiberias and 1.8 from Beitar Jerusalem, so Beitar Jerusalem come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Ironi Tiberias come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Beitar Jerusalem to win. Beitar Jerusalem shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.8), and we make them about 57% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Beitar Jerusalem have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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