How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 60%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Kashima Antlers host Kashiwa Reysol at home in a J1 League clash on 24 October 2026. The Antlers sit sixth in the table with 20 points from 11 games, while Reysol are just above them in fifth place with 22 points. Both clubs have a goal difference of +5, so the match could affect who pulls ahead for the European spots. With Kawasaki Frontale a point behind Kashima and Vissel Kobe level with Reysol, every point matters for the top half of the table.
Kashima have been in fine form over their last eight games, winning five, drawing two and losing just once. Their most recent results are a 2-2 draw away at Kyoto, a 2-0 home win over V-Varen Nagasaki, a 1-0 away victory against Công An Hà Nội, a 2-0 home success over Gamba Osaka and a 3-1 home win over Ventforet Kofu, plus a 3-3 away draw with Kawasaki Frontale. In those eight matches they have scored 21 goals and let in only nine, keeping three clean sheets. The Antlers have not lost in their last seven games and have won all four of their recent home fixtures, showing they can both attack and defend well.
Reysol’s last eight outings have produced five wins, one draw and two defeats. Their recent run includes a 0-0 away draw with FC Tokyo, a 3-1 home loss to Nagoya Grampus, a 5-1 home win over Port FC, a 4-2 victory at home over Vissel Kobe, a 4-0 home triumph over FC Imabari and a 4-2 away win at Machida. Over those games they have found the net 22 times while conceding 12, with two clean sheets and one goalless match. On the road they have been solid too, with two wins, one draw and one loss in their last four away games. Like Kashima, they are coming in on a short three-day turnaround.
The two sides have met five times before. Kashima have won three of those encounters, Reysol none, and two games ended in draws. The meetings have produced an average of 2.8 goals per game, indicating open contests. The most recent meeting was a 3-2 win for Kashima back in July 2025, a game that saw goals from both sides. Given the similar goal-scoring records in recent weeks, we expect another match with chances at both ends and a fair amount of traffic in the box.
Our pick is both teams to score. Both clubs average close to two goals per game in this fixture, and the chance of each side finding the net is high – 80 % for Kashima and 74 % for Reysol. The price of 1.62 matches our view of the game. For this to fail, one side would need to keep a clean sheet, which has happened only three times for Kashima and twice for Reysol in their recent runs. We think the odds are right and the likelihood of both sides scoring sits around 60 %, making this a sensible choice.
Recent results
Kashima Antlers have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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