How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Vissel Kobe and 1.4 from Machida, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Machida come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Vissel Kobe to score. This is about Vissel Kobe's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Vissel Kobe have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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