What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Verdy and 1.5 from Kashima Antlers, so Kashima Antlers come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Kashima Antlers come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Kashima Antlers to win. Kashima Antlers shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.5), and we make them about 58% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.79, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Verdy only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 58%.
