How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Kairat Almaty or Draw 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Aktobe and 1.5 from Kairat Almaty, so Kairat Almaty come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Kairat Almaty or Draw. This covers Kairat Almaty or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Kairat Almaty have won three of the last five meetings.
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