What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Okzhetpes Kokshetau and 1.1 from Zhenis, so Okzhetpes Kokshetau come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Okzhetpes Kokshetau to win. Okzhetpes Kokshetau are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.1), and we make them about 47% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 46 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Zhenis have won one of their last three.
