What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from Al-Arabi and 0.8 from Al Nasr, so Al-Arabi come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al-Arabi come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al-Arabi to win. Al-Arabi are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.9), and we make them about 70% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Al-Arabi have won four of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
