What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Alaves and 1.1 from Osasuna, so Alaves come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Osasuna come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. We only make this about 55%, so it's far from a lock.
