What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Espanol and 1.2 from Sevilla, so Espanol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Espanol have won three of their last five.
✓Sevilla have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
9 May 2026Sevilla 2 - 1 Espanol
24 Nov 2025Espanol 2 - 1 Sevilla
25 Jan 2025Sevilla 1 - 1 Espanol
25 Oct 2024Espanol 0 - 2 Sevilla
4 May 2023Sevilla 3 - 2 Espanol
One thing to watch
If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.
