How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Over 1.5 goals 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Malaga and 1.5 from Levante, so Levante come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.7 goals between the two (xG 1.3-1.5), landing about 74% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Levante have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
