What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Betis and 1.3 from Sociedad, so Betis come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 2.0-1.3), landing about 79% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Betis have won three of their last five.
✓Sociedad have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
9 May 2026Sociedad 2 - 2 Betis
19 Sept 2025Betis 3 - 1 Sociedad
16 Feb 2025Betis 3 - 0 Sociedad
1 Dec 2024Sociedad 2 - 0 Betis
19 May 2024Betis 0 - 2 Sociedad
One thing to watch
If one side settles for what they have, or the game turns cagey, the goals can dry up in a hurry.
