What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Celta and 1.1 from Osasuna, so Celta come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Osasuna come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Celta to win. Celta are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-1.1), and we make them about 49% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 49 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.09, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Osasuna to spoil this. We make it about 49% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
