How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Over 1.5 goals 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Sevilla and 1.1 from Vallecano, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sevilla come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.1), landing about 70% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent results
Sevilla have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
