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Football/La Liga/Sevilla v Vallecano
La Liga

Sevilla v Vallecano: how it went

Sevilla crestSevillaWWWLL
2 - 1
Vallecano crestVallecanoDDWWL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Over 1.5 goals 68%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.1 goals from Sevilla and 1.1 from Vallecano, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sevilla come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.1), landing about 70% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Sevilla have won three of their last five.
✓Vallecano have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

8 Mar 2026Sevilla 1 - 1 Vallecano
28 Sept 2025Vallecano 0 - 1 Sevilla
1 Mar 2025Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla
24 Nov 2024Sevilla 1 - 0 Vallecano
5 Feb 2024Vallecano 1 - 2 Sevilla
Sevilla have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More La Liga fixtures

Full fixture list
Alaves crestAlavesvGetafeGetafe crest★★★★★
This should be an open game: we make it around 1.9 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.9), landing about 61% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Top pickOver 1.5 goals · 1.68Share
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