How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Betis to score 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Villarreal and 1.4 from Betis, so Villarreal come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Villarreal come into this on three straight defeats. Betis come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Betis to score. This is about Betis's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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