What to expect
We expect about 2.6 goals from Auda and 0.8 from Ogre United, so Auda come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Auda to win. Auda are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-0.7), and we make them about 79% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Auda are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Ogre United have not won any of their last three.
