How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1. We made SK Super Nova to win 41%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Ogre United and 1.5 from SK Super Nova, so SK Super Nova come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: SK Super Nova to win. SK Super Nova shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.5), and we make them about 43% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
SK Super Nova have won two of the last three meetings.
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