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Football/Latvia Virsliga/SK Super Nova v RFS
Latvia Virsliga

SK Super Nova v RFS: how it went

SK Super Nova crestSK Super Nova6th of 10 · 38 ptsLLWLL
0 - 3
RFS crestRFS1st of 10 · 83 ptsWDWWW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. We made RFS to win 77%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 0.7 goals from SK Super Nova and 2.4 from RFS, so RFS come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

SK Super Nova come into this on two straight defeats. RFS come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: RFS to win. RFS shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-2.4), and we make them about 79% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓SK Super Nova have won one of their last five.
✓RFS are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

15 Oct 2026RFS 4 - 0 SK Super Nova
29 May 2026SK Super Nova 1 - 2 RFS
18 Apr 2026RFS 2 - 0 SK Super Nova
2 Nov 2025SK Super Nova 1 - 3 RFS
10 Aug 2025RFS 4 - 1 SK Super Nova

RFS have won five of the last five meetings.

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Full fixture list
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Every game on Sunday, 25 October 2026 →
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