How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Bohemians to score 2 or fewer 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Bohemians and 1.1 from Drogheda, so Bohemians come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bohemians come into this on three straight wins. Drogheda come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bohemians to score 2 or fewer. This is about Bohemians's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Bohemians have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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