How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made St. Patricks to score 2 or fewer 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from Sligo Rovers and 1.6 from St. Patricks, so St. Patricks come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sligo Rovers come into this on three straight defeats. St. Patricks come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: St. Patricks to score 2 or fewer. This is about St. Patricks's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
St. Patricks have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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