How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Derry City and 1.1 from Galway, so Derry City come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Derry City to score 2 or fewer. This is about Derry City's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Galway have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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