What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Derry City and 1.1 from Galway, so Derry City come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Derry City come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.0), and we make both teams to score about 51%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Derry City have won three of their last five.
✓Galway have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
19 Jun 2026Galway 2 - 1 Derry City
4 May 2026Derry City 1 - 1 Galway
3 Apr 2026Galway 2 - 1 Derry City
22 Aug 2025Galway 1 - 2 Derry City
13 Jun 2025Derry City 1 - 1 Galway
