AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage prediction

AFC WimbledonLWWDD

StevenageDWWLW

What to expect

We expect about 0.9 goals from AFC Wimbledon and 1.1 from Stevenage, so Stevenage come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

AFC Wimbledon come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Stevenage or Draw. This covers Stevenage or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say

✓AFC Wimbledon have won two of their last five.

✓Stevenage have won three of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

14 Mar 2026Stevenage 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon

26 Dec 2025AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Stevenage

15 Apr 2023Stevenage 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon

28 Feb 2023AFC Wimbledon 2 - 3 Stevenage

Stevenage have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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