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Football/EFL League One/Barnsley v Cambridge
EFL League One

Barnsley v Cambridge prediction

Barnsley crestBarnsley19th of 24 · 8 ptsLLDLL
v
Cambridge crestCambridge5th of 24 · 16 ptsDWDWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Barnsley and 1.2 from Cambridge, so Barnsley come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Barnsley come into this on two straight defeats. Cambridge come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Barnsley have not won any of their last five.
✓Cambridge are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Mar 2025Barnsley 1 - 1 Cambridge
16 Nov 2024Cambridge 1 - 1 Barnsley
29 Mar 2024Barnsley 0 - 2 Cambridge
3 Oct 2023Cambridge 0 - 4 Barnsley
11 Feb 2023Barnsley 2 - 0 Cambridge
Barnsley have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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