How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 57%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Cambridge and 1.0 from Wigan, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Wigan come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. A clean sheet is on the cards in a quiet game (about 2.0 xG).
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.83, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Cambridge have won three of the last five meetings.
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