How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Mansfield (Draw No Bet) 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Mansfield and 0.9 from Doncaster, so Mansfield come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Mansfield (Draw No Bet). Mansfield favoured (xG 1.6-0.9); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Doncaster win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed.
