How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Doncaster or Draw 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Doncaster and 1.0 from Burton, so Doncaster come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Doncaster come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Doncaster or Draw. This covers Doncaster or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Doncaster have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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