Notts County v Oxford: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Oxford to score 77%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Notts County and 1.3 from Oxford, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Oxford to score. This is about Oxford's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.